June 29, 2004
The Beginning of a Bush Comeback?
As the obsessive poll watchers know, Bush's numbers have been stabilizing lately. I speculate that it's a combination of a mild post-Reagan glow, the slowly improving economic news, and a sense that our involvement in Iraq is coming to an end. However, as Josh Marshall points out, we can expect to keep seeing this sort of fluidity in the polls for several months, so this could be nothing more than a temporary uptick. Given that Bush's job approval is rather low, support for the war in Iraq continues to drop, and any Reaganesque glow Bush may have been illuminated with will quickly fade, I would be a little surprised to see his numbers continue to rise.
Jebus . . . stabilizing maybe, but I had no idea those numbers were so abysmally low to begin with. Am I missing something, or does Bush now have only a thirty-nine percent approval rating? And here I was about to kick a couple Benjamins to the DNC. I think I'll go buy some orphans ice-cream instead.
Well, it depends on what poll you're looking at. Besides, national polls are next to worthless if you're trying to determine the outcome of the race. Bush tied Kerry on the EV count a couple of weeks ago and recently took the lead, so it's not even close to a lock for Kerry.