November 01, 2004
Final Election Comments
Well I've been working hard the past few days for the Colorado GOTV effort. Saturday, I canvassed the Bush-friendly suburb of Longmont and yesterday I was in the rural and mountainous Idaho Springs area, which is also heavily Republican (mostly "cultural conservatives" here). We were at 8000 ft+ elevation and we had plenty of snow--an unforgettable Haloween-night experience. Colorado is a difficult state for Dems. The only way we'll have a chance is if our newly registered voters show up and some of the Bush supporters stay home. And we can only hope the GOTV in Denver and Pueblo is as passionate as it is in Boulder. Anything less than a win for Ken Salazar and a close race for Kerry will be a real disappointment.
As for election prognastications, I think Kerry should win Florida if the election is free of fraud--everything I've read suggests Democratic turnout will be heavy and the countervailing GOP effort is probably not enough. Ohio is a tougher nut to crack--they have an incumbent GOP Senator and a GOP governer fighting alongside Bush. Anyway, I think Kerry is the overall favorite right now, but the chance that he could lose both of those states (and thus the election) remains pretty good.
Good for you. My resolve has slackened, I just haven't had time to do any work for the last few days. I did a decent amount leading up to that (though I imagine not as much as you), so my conscience isn't bothering me too much, but it's like Schindler's List . . . I could have done more, and I think that will probably bother me quite a bit if Bush wins Iowa.